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Mortgage Rates Near 1-Year Highs
7/13/2026 3:12 PM
Interest rates are based on bonds. Because the bonds underlying the average mortgage are fixed rate, inflation is the enemy. Imagine you"re an investor fronting the money for a fixed-rate mortgage. You know your schedule of payments from day one. Let"s say the payment is $5 or enough to buy a dozen eggs.  Now let"s say inflation raises the pr...Read More
 
Fraud Report, AMC, Non-QM Products, eNote News; ROAD to Housing Thoughts; Oil and Rates
7/13/2026 10:55 AM
Recently, MISMO released its new white paper, “From Paper to Performance: How eNotes and eClosing Streamline Liquidity,” providing guidance for originators, warehouse lenders, investors, and technology providers to implement digital mortgage solutions. Today at 10AM PT is Now Next Later, presented by Relcu, where Jeremy Potter and Eric Lapin are jo...Read More
 
Weekend Weakness And Another Showdown With a Technical Ceiling
7/13/2026 8:21 AM
Bonds are weaker to start the new week and the catalyst is simple. The U.S. ramped up air strikes in Iran, both in terms of number and distance inland. Iran responded by hitting various allied targets. Perhaps more importantly for financial markets, shipping traffic has returned back to war-time lows after a noticeable surge in the 2nd half of June...Read More
 
Some Bond-Specific Weakness in The Afternoon
7/10/2026 2:50 PM
Some Bond-Specific Weakness in The Afternoon Oil and Treasury yields were almost perfectly correlated for almost the entire week. Friday afternoon was an exception. Oil continued sideways to slightly lower while yields rose a bit. Overall damage was negligible, but it was interesting nonetheless. While ther...Read More
 
Mortgage Rates End Week Roughly Unchanged
7/10/2026 1:39 PM
Rates are based on bonds and bonds have been taking cues from oil prices this week. Oil was flat overnight, bringing bonds along for the sideways ride. As such, the average mortgage lender began the day almost perfectly in line with yesterday"s latest levels.  All that having been said, bonds experienced some of their own weakness in the afte...Read More
 
Existing-Home Sales Continue Sideways Trend in June
7/10/2026 1:25 PM
Existing-home sales eased in June after reaching a six-month high in May, as modest changes in mortgage rates continued to influence buyer activity. According to the National Association of REALTORS®, sales fell 2.4% from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million , though they remained 2.8% above their level from a year earlier....Read More
 
Mortgage Applications Ease During Holiday-Shortened Week
7/10/2026 1:21 PM
Mortgage application activity slipped modestly last week as both purchase and refinance demand eased during the holiday-shortened period. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 2.2% decrease in total application volume on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending July 3, with results adjusted for the Fourth of July holiday. Purc...Read More
 
Verification, AI, Prequal Products; STRATMOR Tech Survey; Government Program News
7/10/2026 10:06 AM
Did you know that 53 percent of statistics are made up on the spot? “Rob, you recently mentioned that 30 percent of repeat buyers paid cash and did not finance their home. Where did that statistic come from?” The most recent Home Buyers and Sellers Report from NAR. If you’d like to see stats based on age, here is as much data as you would like. Len...Read More
 
Empty Calendar Leaves Focus on War Headlines
7/10/2026 9:05 AM
The entire week has been a study in the rekindled love affair between bond yields and oil prices. The latter is fairly flat versus yesterday"s latest levels, so it"s no surprise to see bonds in the same position. Without anything of note on the econ calendar today, there"s no reason to expect any catalyst to have more potential impact than war-rela...Read More
 
Slightly Stronger But There"s a Catch
7/9/2026 3:11 PM
Slightly Stronger But There"s a Catch Bonds had a decent day with MBS up more than a quarter point and 10yr yields down 3bps to 4.54+.  While that adds some emphasis to the rejection of a technical breakout above 4.59%, we can"t really conclude that it happened for any bond-specific reasons. In fact, w...Read More




Small Business Stories from New York Times:
 
The Women Running Businesses Under Taliban Rules
6/22/2026 10:06 AM
With secondary education and most jobs out of reach, thousands of Afghan women have turned to entrepreneurship as the only path to make money and maintain a social life...Read More
 
Danny Simmons, Painter and Activist From a Creative Family, Dies at 72
6/18/2026 2:17 PM
The older brother of the music mogul Russell Simmons and the rapper Joseph Simmons, he made his own way as an artistic and entrepreneurial force in Brooklyn...Read More
 
Who Is the Baklava Guy at the Knicks Games?
6/2/2026 10:01 AM
In city parks, at Phish shows and outside Madison Square Garden, a nomadic salesman builds his brand, one pistachio-laden wedge at a time...Read More
 
Inside the Elon Musk-OpenAI Trial Courtroom
5/11/2026 1:22 PM
The tech leaders, with combined net worths exceeding $670 billion, have brought props to court and traded icy stares as their legal dispute reaches a denouement...Read More
 
Putin’s Army of Drones
4/21/2026 1:18 PM
Freed from ethical constraints and hardened by years of war, a country long seen as a bureaucratic giant has become an entrepreneurial one...Read More



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