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| Solid Mid-Day Recovery For Rates | ||
| 10/1/2026 3:09 PM | ||
| It"s a rarity these days, but mortgage rates actually moved lower today by more than a token amount. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate fell to 7.54% from 7.60% yesterday. There are multiple potential factors in play when it comes to explaining the underlying bond market rally, but none of them stand out as an obvious singular motivation. For th...Read More | ||
| eNote, Non-Agency, Spec Pay-Up, Processing, Hedging Tools; UAD 3.6 Paused; Agency Pricing Changes | ||
| 10/1/2026 10:18 AM | ||
| Welcome to the 4th quarter. Remember when, in 2024, the informal slogan for many in our biz was, “Stay alive ‘til ’25!”? (’27 isn’t expected to be heaven.) This is the month of Halloween. Suddenly residential lending is filled with tricks or treats, along with conferences of varying value. People are on the move: the jobs section of this Commentary...Read More | ||
| No Love From October So Far, But The Day"s Not Over | ||
| 10/1/2026 9:35 AM | ||
| Sometimes we see a distinct shift in momentum on the first day of a new month. This is not one of those times. October 1st picks up where September 30th left off with more yield curve steepening (2yr and 10yr yield getting farther apart). This is a reflection of the sudden shift in economic data expectations last Wednesday combined with the fact th...Read More | ||
| Just Another Bad Day For Bonds Without New Justification | ||
| 9/30/2026 4:01 PM | ||
| Just Another Bad Day For Bonds Without New Justification 10yr yields hit another long-term high today, breaking above 5.30% briefly before settling just under 5.29%. There was a flash of hope after the 8:30am econ data, but that reversed fairly quickly. Reasons can be debated. Some would say today"s broadly...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates End Day Higher Despite Promising Start | ||
| 9/30/2026 3:06 PM | ||
| For a few moments this morning, it looked as if rates might buck the recent trend and recover a bit of ground today. The underlying bond market was fairly flat overnight and then managed to improve after this morning"s PCE inflation data. But that improvement was short-lived. Top tier 30yr fixed rates jumped to 7.60%. That"s only 0.02% highe...Read More | ||
| Jumbo ARM, Compliance, AVM, Borrower Mining Tools; Fairway"s Steve Jacobson Interview; California MBA"s Advocacy | ||
| 9/30/2026 10:53 AM | ||
| Time flies. The last day of the third quarter. We just wrapped up Fat Bear Week 2026 in Alaska. (Congrats to Backpack.) Ringo Starr is 86 years old, and doing well: clean living, being active, and a sense of humor. I mention this because when he was born, a letter was 3 cents to mail. Do companies still have mailrooms and mail bags? Let’s dip into ...Read More | ||
| Lower PCE Inflation, So Why Aren"t Bonds Happier? | ||
| 9/30/2026 8:34 AM | ||
| Core PCE came in at 0.2 vs a 0.3 forecast, and the bond market rallied a bit in response. That said, the unrounded number was .247, which about as high as it could be without rounding up to 0.3. Core annual PCE was 3.0, which was flat versus a downward revision from 3.3. More importantly, that downward revision wasn"t mainly about new data collecti...Read More | ||
| Big Intraday Round Trip For Bonds; Williams Helped | ||
| 9/29/2026 3:56 PM | ||
| Big Intraday Round Trip For Bonds; Williams Helped Bonds spent the first half of the day pressing into even weaker levels in spite of a respectable drop in oil prices. Data and headlines had little to no bearing on the selling. If anything, the biggest scapegoat is the combination of bearish momentum and qu...Read More | ||
| Mortgage Rates Rise to 7.58% | ||
| 9/29/2026 3:03 PM | ||
| Mortgage rates moved higher again on Tuesday as the bond market continues recalibrating expectations for Fed policy, economic growth, and inflation. The weakness is especially frustrating considering a fairly large drop in oil prices today, but as we discussed yesterday, rates have a lot more on their mind than oil these days. Our top-tier 30yr fi...Read More | ||
| AI Marketing, SOC, HELOC Fulfillment Tools; Rocket Makes VantageScore Move, But Serious Investor Questions Remain | ||
| 9/29/2026 10:13 AM | ||
| Lender and Brokers Products, Services, and Software Regulatory oversight for automated valuation models (AVMs) has shifted in recent years, placing greater emphasis on rigorous testing and validation. Lenders who aren’t keeping pace with evolving compliance requirements can be exposed to greater risk. ICE’s AVM Model Monitor provides on-demand de...Read More | ||
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