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Volatility Picked Up After a Slow Start
4/16/2026 3:26 PM
Volatility Picked Up After a Slow Start This morning, more than halfway through the international trading day, bonds were on track for the narrowest trading range since February 24th. The low volatility didn"t last. Sellers surfaced in response to several war-related headlines. Bond yields followed oil pric...Read More
 
Mortgage Rates Hold Perfectly Steady
4/16/2026 2:52 PM
On average, today"s top-tier 30 year fixed mortgage rates are exactly the same as yesterday"s. Rates are driven by the bond market and bonds continue waiting for bigger developments in the Iran war. At the moment, the market is in a sort of limbo as time remains on the 2-week ceasefire. In the meantime, there"s a multitude of lower consequence war...Read More
 
AOT, Warehouse, Homebuyer Report, Subservicing Tools; STRATMOR"s "Who Owns the Borrower?" Population Trends
4/16/2026 10:22 AM
The U.S. Census Bureau released a downloadable file containing estimates of the nation’s resident population by single year of age and sex as of July 1, 2025. Nationwide lenders are always analyzing branch locations and market share. America’s post-pandemic relocation surge is losing momentum, with interstate migration falling to a decade low as on...Read More
 
Slowest Day in Over a Month. No Reaction to Data
4/16/2026 8:33 AM
Thursday has thus far been the slowest and most sideways day since February 24th, before the start of the Iran war. A lull in war-related developments is likely helping. While there are plenty of isolated headlines, the only thing the market really cares about is the timeline for the war to be over. As such, the present ceasefire is a sort of ...Read More
 
Very Small Token Pull-Back
4/15/2026 2:59 PM
Very Small Token Pull-Back Nothing really happened on Wednesday as far as the bond market was concerned. Yields were technically a few bps higher thus preserving the phenomenon of rally momentum being limited to 48-hour windows since the start of the Iran war. Despite a barrage of war-related headlines, the...Read More
 
Mortgage Rates Essentially Sideways at Recent Lows
4/15/2026 2:20 PM
On Tuesday, the average top-tier 30yr fixed mortgage rate hit the lowest level in exactly 4 weeks. If you"re not interested in splitting hairs, today"s rates are essentially the same. Although our official average is 0.01% higher, that"s such a small change that many of today"s rate quotes will look the same as yesterday"s.  In the bigger pic...Read More
 
TBA Bidding, HELOC, DSCR, CRM, HMDA Analysis, MI Tools; Events Throughout 2026
4/15/2026 10:55 AM
According to Curinos’ proprietary application index, March 2026 funded mortgage volume increased 35 percent y-o-y and increased 30 percent m-o-m. How did your company stack up? Curinos calculates that refinance and purchase rates were 5-6 basis points lower m-o-m and about 73 basis points y-o-y. (Curinos sources a statistically significant data set...Read More
 
Bonds Growing Tired of "Game On! Game Off!" News Cycle
4/15/2026 9:34 AM
Markets have plenty of war-related headlines to digest at any given moment these days. And while some of those headlines have been the biggest market movers of the month, traders are increasingly focusing on the examples that speak to the biggest-picture changes. Specifically, markets aren"t as interested in Wayne and Garth saying "game on" an...Read More
 
Bonds Ultimately Follow Oil"s Lead, Heading Lower On War-Related Optimism
4/14/2026 3:27 PM
Bonds Ultimately Follow Oil"s Lead, Heading Lower War-Related Optimism While there were no incredibly memorable sound bytes on the Iran war today, there were a few headlines that proved to be actionable for financial markets. The most actionable (by a wide margin) was a report on Fox News around 10am quotin...Read More
 
Lowest Mortgage Rates in 4 Weeks
4/14/2026 2:23 PM
Mortgage rates had their best day of the month so far with the top tier 30yr fixed rate falling 0.08% for the average lender to the lowest levels in exactly 4 weeks. Today"s improvement is a bit bigger than today"s bond market movement would suggest. The discrepancy is due to timing. Bonds were improving fairly steadily since yesterday morning and...Read More




Small Business Stories from New York Times:
 
A Maker of Pet Toys in Ukraine Turns to Killer Drones
4/9/2026 3:09 PM
An entrepreneur behind drones that make the final strike themselves epitomizes the transformation of Ukraine’s civilian technology industry into a defense powerhouse...Read More
 
Linda Dresner, Old-School Guru of Avant-Garde Fashion, Dies at 88
4/8/2026 3:24 PM
Her minimalist gallery-like store on Park Avenue was a destination for generations of moneyed New Yorkers and helped change the way clothing is sold...Read More
 
Presto! In Chicago, a High-End Magic Palace Appears
4/14/2026 1:56 PM
The entrepreneur Glen Tullman is betting people want to dress up and watch magicians in a luxury setting. Either it will work or $50 million will go poof...Read More
 
All the Worst People Seem to Want to Be ‘High Agency’
4/3/2026 1:12 PM
The term “high agency” is an ethos for a gambler’s time...Read More
 
A New Jersey Teen Finds Treasure, and More, in Abandoned Storage Units
3/31/2026 3:19 PM
Michael Haskell, 17, set out to make some money from his locker dives. He ended up learning about life...Read More



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